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Major League Soccer
Jul 10, 2022 at 3.24am UK
Florida Citrus Bowl
IM
Orlando City
1 - 0
Inter Miami
Lowe (90+2' og.)
Smith (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Duke (52')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Orlando City 2-1 Inter Miami

Orlando will understand that this weekend's clash represents an opportunity not only to take the bragging rights of Florida, but to also consolidate their playoff position. Inter Miami will offer stern competition, but it is unlikely they will be able to take points off Orlando. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 56.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 20.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Orlando City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Orlando City.

Result
Orlando CityDrawInter Miami
56.28% (-0.144 -0.14) 23.69% (0.123 0.12) 20.02% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.63% (-0.344 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.47% (-0.474 -0.47)50.52% (0.47 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.55% (-0.421 -0.42)72.44% (0.41799999999999 0.42)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.22% (-0.226 -0.23)17.77% (0.226 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.52% (-0.392 -0.39)48.47% (0.391 0.39)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.36% (-0.254 -0.25)39.63% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.68% (-0.235 -0.23)76.31% (0.233 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 56.27%
    Inter Miami 20.02%
    Draw 23.69%
Orlando CityDrawInter Miami
1-0 @ 12.16% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 10.51% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.05% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.6% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.61% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.42% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.9% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 56.27%
1-1 @ 11.26% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.04% (0.133 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 23.69%
0-1 @ 6.52% (0.079 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.02% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.61% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 20.02%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Orlando City 3-5 DC United
Tuesday, July 5 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Orlando City
Saturday, June 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 2-1 Houston
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 1-1 Orlando City
Thursday, June 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 1-3 Dallas
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 2-2 Orlando City
Monday, May 23 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-1 Inter Miami
Tuesday, July 5 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, June 26 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, June 19 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Portland
Sunday, May 29 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, May 22 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 Inter Miami
Thursday, May 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

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