Major League Soccer

Jun 25, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Nippert Stadium

Cincinnati
1 - 0
Orlando City

Brenner (65')
Brenner (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Smith (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: FC Cincinnati 1-1 Orlando City

There is no doubt that Cincinnati are vastly improved, although they continue to struggle at home, winning only twice at TQL Stadium in 2022. Orlando have shown that they can be potent in the attacking third once in a while, but we have not seen enough consistency in that department to believe they will manage to shut down a dynamic attacking team in Cincy for a full 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Cincinnati in this match.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	Orlando City
38.91% ( 1.81)	26.66% ( -0.36)	34.43% ( -1.44)

Both teams to score 51.85% (

1.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.89% (

1.36)

53.11% (

-1.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.31% (

1.15)

74.69% (

-1.14)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.34% (

1.68)

26.65% (

-1.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.1% (

2.17)

61.89% (

-2.17)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.69% (

-0.23)

29.3% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.73% (

-0.28)

65.27% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 38.9%

Orlando City 34.43%

Draw 26.65%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	Orlando City
1-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.29) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.19% Total : 38.9%	1-1 @ 12.67% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.43) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.65%	0-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.58) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.4) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.51% Total : 34.43%