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FC
Major League Soccer
Jun 25, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
OC
Cincinnati
1 - 0
Orlando City
Brenner (65')
Brenner (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Smith (72')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 2-1 Houston
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 1-1 Orlando City

There is no doubt that Cincinnati are vastly improved, although they continue to struggle at home, winning only twice at TQL Stadium in 2022. Orlando have shown that they can be potent in the attacking third once in a while, but we have not seen enough consistency in that department to believe they will manage to shut down a dynamic attacking team in Cincy for a full 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Cincinnati in this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawOrlando City
38.91% (1.808 1.81) 26.66% (-0.365 -0.36) 34.43% (-1.438 -1.44)
Both teams to score 51.85% (1.024 1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.89% (1.362 1.36)53.11% (-1.357 -1.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.31% (1.145 1.15)74.69% (-1.142 -1.14)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (1.683 1.68)26.65% (-1.68 -1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (2.171 2.17)61.89% (-2.169 -2.17)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.69% (-0.229 -0.23)29.3% (0.232 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.73% (-0.28 -0.28)65.27% (0.28400000000001 0.28)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 38.9%
    Orlando City 34.43%
    Draw 26.65%
FC CincinnatiDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 10.32% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.38% (0.289 0.29)
2-0 @ 6.83% (0.278 0.28)
3-1 @ 3.69% (0.292 0.29)
3-0 @ 3.01% (0.255 0.26)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.166 0.17)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.148 0.15)
4-0 @ 1% (0.127 0.13)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 38.9%
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 7.81% (-0.427 -0.43)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.145 0.15)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 9.59% (-0.583 -0.58)
1-2 @ 7.78% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-2 @ 5.88% (-0.402 -0.4)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.41% (-0.181 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 34.43%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 4-3 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-3 New England
Sunday, May 22 at 12.20am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 15 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 0-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 8 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-0 Toronto
Thursday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 2-1 Houston
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 1-1 Orlando City
Thursday, June 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 1-3 Dallas
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 2-2 Orlando City
Monday, May 23 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 0-1 Orlando City
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 4-1 Orlando City
Saturday, May 7 at 9pm in Major League Soccer

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