There is not much to split these two teams in the league table and that could lead to a competitive and closely-contested match in midweek.
However, the impressive run of form that Philadelphia Union are enjoying should give them an advantage in terms of momentum that could be decisive.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 65.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 14.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
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