SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 50.98%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Charlotte FC | Draw | Chicago Fire |
50.98% ( -1.59) | 23.78% ( 0.36) | 25.24% ( 1.24) |
| Both teams to score 55.99% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.67% ( -0.44) | 45.34% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.33% ( -0.42) | 67.67% ( 0.42) |
| Charlotte FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.18% ( -0.75) | 17.82% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.44% ( -1.32) | 48.56% ( 1.33) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.13% ( 0.79) | 31.87% ( -0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.68% ( 0.9) | 68.32% ( -0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Charlotte FC | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 1-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.28)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.63% Total : 50.98% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.78% | 0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.67% Total : 25.24% |
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