SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 63.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 16.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | New England Revolution |
63.03% ( 0.26) | 20.58% ( 0.39) | 16.39% ( -0.65) |
| Both teams to score 52.76% ( -2.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.07% ( -3.02) | 42.93% ( 3.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.67% ( -3.06) | 65.33% ( 3.06) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87% ( -0.85) | 13% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.48% ( -1.77) | 39.52% ( 1.77) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.64% ( -2.62) | 39.35% ( 2.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.94% ( -2.54) | 76.05% ( 2.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.73) 1-0 @ 10.43% ( 1.03)2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.23)4-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.35)4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.24)5-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.21% Total : 63.01% | 1-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.65)2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.34)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.58% | 0-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.16)Other @ 2% Total : 16.39% |
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