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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 68.58%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for DC United had a probability of 12.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | DC United |
68.58% ( 0.34) | 19.01% ( 0.08) | 12.41% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 47.59% ( -1.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.56% ( -1.41) | 44.44% ( 1.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.19% ( -1.38) | 66.81% ( 1.39) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.12% ( -0.31) | 11.88% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.81% ( -0.67) | 37.19% ( 0.67) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.01% ( -1.58) | 45.99% ( 1.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.29% ( -1.26) | 81.71% ( 1.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | DC United |
| 2-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.45) 1-0 @ 11.63% ( 0.56)2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.18)5-0 @ 2% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.33% Total : 68.57% | 1-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.76% Total : 19.01% | 0-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.13% Total : 12.41% |
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