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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 8
May 16, 2021 at 3am UK
Earthquakes Stadium
PT

Earthquakes
0 - 2
Portland


Wondolowski (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Chara (5'), Loria (74')
Tuiloma (25'), Zuparic (42')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawPortland Timbers
48.41%23.33%28.26%
Both teams to score 60.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.08%40.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.7%63.3%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.88%17.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.66%47.34%
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.71%27.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.27%62.74%
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 48.41%
    Portland Timbers 28.26%
    Draw 23.32%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawPortland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.45%
1-0 @ 8.25%
2-0 @ 7.28%
3-1 @ 5.56%
3-0 @ 4.28%
3-2 @ 3.61%
4-1 @ 2.45%
4-0 @ 1.89%
4-2 @ 1.59%
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 48.41%
1-1 @ 10.7%
2-2 @ 6.14%
0-0 @ 4.67%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.32%
1-2 @ 6.95%
0-1 @ 6.07%
0-2 @ 3.94%
1-3 @ 3.01%
2-3 @ 2.66%
0-3 @ 1.71%
1-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 28.26%

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