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Major League Soccer
Jul 24, 2022 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
CF
Toronto
4 - 0
Charlotte FC
Osorio (4'), Bradley (10', 45+2'), Bernardeschi (31')
Kaye (67')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Fuchs (65')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 1-0 Toronto
Sunday, July 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-1 Chelsea (0-0 pen.)
Thursday, July 21 at 1.35am in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Toronto 2-0 Charlotte FC

TFC should get a considerable boost if Insigne finally hits the field, while we expect them to be able to contain a Charlotte attack, who are in good form but can be streaky at times, and in general still struggle on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawCharlotte FC
48.4% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03) 24.39% (0.0039999999999978 0) 27.21% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.76% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.53% (0.011000000000003 0.01)46.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.25% (0.010000000000002 0.01)68.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.72% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)19.28% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.99% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)51.01% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.07% (0.028999999999996 0.03)30.93% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.78% (0.034999999999997 0.03)67.22% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 48.4%
    Charlotte FC 27.21%
    Draw 24.38%
TorontoDrawCharlotte FC
1-0 @ 9.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.08% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 48.4%
1-1 @ 11.51%
0-0 @ 5.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.38%
0-1 @ 7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.11% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.64% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 27.21%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Montreal 1-0 Toronto
Sunday, July 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-0 Toronto
Thursday, July 14 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-2 Earthquakes
Sunday, July 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 0-2 Seattle
Sunday, July 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-2 Columbus Crew
Thursday, June 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-1 Atlanta
Sunday, June 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-1 Chelsea (0-0 pen.)
Thursday, July 21 at 1.35am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Inter Miami 3-2 Charlotte FC
Sunday, July 17 at 2.22am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 4-1 Nashville
Sunday, July 10 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 1-2 Charlotte FC
Monday, July 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-1 Austin
Friday, July 1 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, June 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

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