These two sides have plenty of similarities when it comes to quality in the attacking third, with each allowing their opponents to fire at will in their own penalty area.
Home field could be the deciding factor in this one, and because of that we are giving the Reds a slight edge, having won all five of their regular season contests at BMO Field, while the Goonies have yet to win on the road, failing to score on five occasions.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
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