Major League Soccer

Jul 3, 2022 at 12.30am UK

BMO Field

Toronto
0 - 2
Seattle

Salcedo (31')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Teves (39'), Montero (60')
Chu (14'), Tolo (34'), Lodeiro (70'), Leyva (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Toronto 1-1 Seattle Sounders

The energy and excitement with the newcomers in Toronto should provide the home side with a nice burst of momentum heading into this encounter, even though neither Insigne nor Criscito will be eligible to play until next week at the earliest. Seattle were poor against CF Montreal in mid-week, losing 2-1, but they rarely drop consecutive encounters, so we expect them to come out more determined while doing enough to earn a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Toronto	Draw	Seattle Sounders
39.97% ( 1.32)	25.38% ( 0.04)	34.64% ( -1.36)

Both teams to score 56.14% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.36% (

-0.32)

47.64% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.16% (

-0.3)

69.84% (

0.3)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.41% (

0.54)

23.6% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.33% (

0.77)

57.67% (

-0.77)

Seattle Sounders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.47% (

-0.94)

26.53% (

0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.27% (

-1.26)

61.73% (

1.27)

Score Analysis

Toronto 39.98%

Seattle Sounders 34.64%

Draw 25.38%

Toronto	Draw	Seattle Sounders
1-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.03% Total : 39.98%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.2% Total : 34.64%