Major League Soccer

Jul 17, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Saputo Stadium

Montreal
1 - 0
Toronto

MacNaughton (69' og.)
Miller (57'), Brault-Guillard (87')
Miller (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bradley (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: CF Montreal 2-1 Toronto

Even without Mihailovic, Montreal should not have any problems finding a way through a defence who have conceded the second-most goals in MLS (38) and are not as great in attacking third on the road as they are at home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 62.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 17.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF Montreal	Draw	Toronto
62.2% ( 2.91)	20.46% ( -0.7)	17.33% ( -2.21)

Both teams to score 55.24% (

-1.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.34% (

-0.41)

40.65% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.96% (

-0.42)

63.04% (

0.42)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.46% (

0.72)

12.53% (

-0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.44% (

1.47)

38.56% (

-1.47)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.15% (

-2.64)

36.85% (

2.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.37% (

-2.73)

73.63% (

2.73)

Score Analysis

CF Montreal 62.2%

Toronto 17.33%

Draw 20.46%

CF Montreal	Draw	Toronto
2-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.7) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.43) 3-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.66) 3-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.43) 4-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.21) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.59% Total : 62.2%	1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.36) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.46%	1-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.49) 0-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.31) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.29) Other @ 2.39% Total : 17.33%