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Major League Soccer
Jul 4, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Robertson Stadium
CF

Houston
1 - 2
Charlotte FC

Picault (81')
Ceren (56'), (67'), Steres (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vera (28' og.), Shinyashiki (74')
Ruiz (66'), Shinyashiki (85'), Gaines (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portland 2-1 Houston
Thursday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-1 Austin
Friday, July 1 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-1 Charlotte FC

Given the unpredictable form of the two sides, Monday's game is difficult to predict, but we see the most likely outcome as a share of the spoils. Both are struggling to put victories on the board and we see them cancelling out each other's efforts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 50.23%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 24.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawCharlotte FC
50.23% (0.165 0.16) 25.46% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02) 24.31% (-0.153 -0.15)
Both teams to score 49.77% (-0.112 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.92% (-0.07 -0.07)53.08% (0.067 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.34% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)74.66% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.85% (0.039999999999992 0.04)21.15% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.99% (0.061999999999998 0.06)54.01% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.12% (-0.177 -0.18)36.88% (0.172 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.33% (-0.177 -0.18)73.66% (0.172 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 50.22%
    Charlotte FC 24.31%
    Draw 25.45%
Houston DynamoDrawCharlotte FC
1-0 @ 12.11% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.41% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.87% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.89% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 50.22%
1-1 @ 12.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.8% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 7.78% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.03% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.88% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 24.31%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Portland 2-1 Houston
Thursday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 2-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, June 26 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 2-1 Houston
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 3-0 Houston
Sunday, May 29 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 0-3 Houston
Monday, May 23 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 0-1 Seattle
Thursday, May 19 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-1 Austin
Friday, July 1 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, June 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-0 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, June 11 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 2-1 Charlotte FC
Monday, May 30 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-1 Vancouver
Sunday, May 22 at 10pm in Major League Soccer


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