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NY
Major League Soccer
Jun 19, 2022 at 12am UK
Red Bull Arena
TF
NY Red Bulls
2 - 0
Toronto
Morgan (2'), Luquinhas (56')
Nealis (37'), Harper (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Akinola (26'), O'Neill (31'), Petrasso (61')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York Red Bulls 3-1 Toronto

It will take longer than a few weeks to fix the defensive issues plaguing TFC, so expect another long afternoon for the Reds, who have conceded plenty of goals at Red Bull Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 60.5%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 17.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawToronto
60.5% (-0.108 -0.11) 22.01% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 17.49% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 50.41% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.77% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)47.23% (0.124 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.54% (-0.109 -0.11)69.46% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.84% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)15.17% (0.078999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.23% (-0.143 -0.14)43.77% (0.149 0.15)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)40.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.82% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)77.19% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 60.49%
    Toronto 17.49%
    Draw 22%
New York Red BullsDrawToronto
1-0 @ 11.6% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.88% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.21% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.25% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.93% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.23% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 60.49%
1-1 @ 10.46% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.15% (0.031 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 22%
0-1 @ 5.55% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.72% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.5% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.42% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 17.49%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-0 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, June 11 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 4-1 DC United
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, May 22 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 3-3 Chicago Fire
Thursday, May 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, May 15 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-1 Portland
Sunday, May 8 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 2-2 Toronto
Saturday, May 21 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 0-1 Orlando City
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 1-0 Toronto
Sunday, May 8 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-0 Toronto
Thursday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-2 Cincinnati
Saturday, April 30 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

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