Major League Soccer

May 21, 2022 at 11.30pm UK

RFK Stadium

DC United
2 - 2
Toronto

Flores (8'), Estrada (56')
Hines-Ike (16'), Alfaro (23'), Smith (84'), Durkin (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Akinola (36'), Osorio (89')
Salcedo (10'), Jimenez (45+1'), Osorio (80'), Achara (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: DC United 2-0 Toronto

When you are losing in the fashion that Toronto have been, it can be challenging to snap out of that sort of funk, and at the moment, nothing seems to be going their way, despite probably deserving a little better. The Black and Red always seem to be able to recover from a setback, and we anticipate their dangerous attacking players will punish the Reds, who have yet to solve their defensive issues. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 51.71%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 24.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Toronto win was 0-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
DC United	Draw	Toronto
51.71% ( -2.19)	23.89% ( 0.54)	24.4% ( 1.65)

Both teams to score 54.72% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.41% (

-0.67)

46.59% (

0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.14% (

-0.64)

68.86% (

0.63)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.98% (

-1.06)

18.02% (

1.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.1% (

-1.85)

48.89% (

1.85)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.75% (

1.08)

33.25% (

-1.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.13% (

1.17)

69.86% (

-1.18)

Score Analysis

DC United 51.7%

Toronto 24.4%

Draw 23.89%

DC United	Draw	Toronto
1-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.37) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.26) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.4) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.25) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.51% Total : 51.7%	1-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.89%	0-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.37% Total : 24.4%