Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 71.38%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 10.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.25%) and 3-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 0-1 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.