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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 16
Jul 18, 2021 at 3am UK
Empire Field
LG

Vancouver
2 - 1
LA Galaxy

Caicedo (48'), Dajome (77')
Baldisimo (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Raveloson (5')
Williams (62')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 48.63%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.4%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
27.31%24.06%48.63%
Both teams to score 56.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.04%44.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.69%67.32%
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.94%30.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.8%66.2%
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41%18.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.13%49.87%
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 27.31%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 48.63%
    Draw 24.06%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 6.79%
1-0 @ 6.72%
2-0 @ 4.04%
3-1 @ 2.72%
3-2 @ 2.29%
3-0 @ 1.62%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 27.31%
1-1 @ 11.3%
2-2 @ 5.71%
0-0 @ 5.59%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.06%
1-2 @ 9.51%
0-1 @ 9.4%
0-2 @ 7.91%
1-3 @ 5.33%
0-3 @ 4.44%
2-3 @ 3.2%
1-4 @ 2.24%
0-4 @ 1.87%
2-4 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 48.63%

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