Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 61.42%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 18.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 1-0 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.