SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 44.51%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 30.96% | 24.53% | 44.51% |
| Both teams to score 57.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.07% | 44.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.71% | 67.29% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.49% | 27.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.99% | 63.01% |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.7% | 20.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.34% | 52.67% |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 2-1 @ 7.42% 1-0 @ 7.21% 2-0 @ 4.65% 3-1 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 2.54% 3-0 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.96% | 1-1 @ 11.49% 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.53% | 1-2 @ 9.16% 0-1 @ 8.9% 0-2 @ 7.1% 1-3 @ 4.87% 0-3 @ 3.77% 2-3 @ 3.14% 1-4 @ 1.94% 0-4 @ 1.51% 2-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.86% Total : 44.51% |
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