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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 8
May 23, 2021 at 2am UK
Robertson Stadium
VW

Houston
2 - 1
Vancouver

Rodriguez (8'), Urruti (42')
Jones (22'), Corona (32'), Garcia (82'), Picault (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Caicedo (80')
Cavallini (21'), Bikel (52'), Baldisimo (81')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 66.42%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 13.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 0-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawVancouver Whitecaps
66.42%19.76%13.82%
Both teams to score 49.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.53%44.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.16%66.84%
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.51%12.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.52%38.48%
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.2%43.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.04%79.95%
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 66.41%
    Vancouver Whitecaps 13.82%
    Draw 19.76%
Houston DynamoDrawVancouver Whitecaps
2-0 @ 11.83%
1-0 @ 11.38%
2-1 @ 9.77%
3-0 @ 8.21%
3-1 @ 6.78%
4-0 @ 4.27%
4-1 @ 3.52%
3-2 @ 2.8%
5-0 @ 1.78%
5-1 @ 1.47%
4-2 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 66.41%
1-1 @ 9.4%
0-0 @ 5.47%
2-2 @ 4.03%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 19.76%
0-1 @ 4.52%
1-2 @ 3.88%
0-2 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.11%
1-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 13.82%

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