SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 52.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 23.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Portland Timbers |
52.13% ( 0.03) | 24.2% ( -0.01) | 23.67% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.92% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.41% ( 0.03) | 48.58% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.29% ( 0.03) | 70.71% ( -0.03) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.38% ( 0.03) | 18.61% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.09% ( 0.05) | 49.9% ( -0.05) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.02% | 34.98% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.28% ( 0) | 71.72% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 1-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.2% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.17% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 3.25% Total : 52.12% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0)3-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.04% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 23.67% |
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