SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | Portland Timbers |
45.22% ( -0.04) | 25.51% ( 0.01) | 29.26% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.56% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.98% ( -0.04) | 50.02% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28% ( -0.03) | 72% ( 0.03) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.91% ( -0.03) | 22.09% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.55% ( -0.05) | 55.45% ( 0.04) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.75% ( -0) | 31.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.41% ( -0) | 67.59% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 1-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 45.22% | 1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0)Other @ 2.9% Total : 29.26% |
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