SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 48.2%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
48.2% ( -0.04) | 23.43% ( 0.03) | 28.37% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.98% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.69% ( -0.13) | 41.31% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.29% ( -0.13) | 63.71% ( 0.13) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.64% ( -0.06) | 17.35% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.25% ( -0.11) | 47.75% ( 0.11) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.58% ( -0.06) | 27.42% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.1% ( -0.07) | 62.89% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.26% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.95% Total : 48.2% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.42% | 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 28.37% |
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