Major League Soccer

Jul 18, 2022 at 3.30am UK

Jeld-Wen Field

Portland
1 - 1
Vancouver

Mora (81' pen.)
van Rankin (44'), Zuparic (84'), Blanco (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

White (33')
Cavallini (46'), Raposo (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Portland Timbers 3-1 Vancouver Whitecaps

The Timbers look like a different team since the international break and are playing with a lot more fire than we saw at the start of the season, proving that they are still a tough team to play against. With Cubas likely sidelined for this encounter, that should allow the Timbers to play through the middle a lot easier and find their share of scoring opportunities, which we believe will be enough to earn them three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 63.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 16.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
63.03% ( -1.78)	20.53% ( 0.6)	16.43% ( 1.18)

Both teams to score 53.03% (

0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.38% (

-0.44)

42.62% (

0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.97% (

-0.44)

65.02% (

0.44)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.1% (

-0.64)

12.9% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.68% (

-1.33)

39.32% (

1.33)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.89% (

1.24)

39.11% (

-1.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.17% (

1.14)

75.83% (

-1.14)

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 63.03%

Vancouver Whitecaps 16.43%

Draw 20.53%

Portland Timbers	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
2-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.31) 1-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.4) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.3) 4-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.16) 5-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.27% Total : 63.03%	1-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.53%	0-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.03% Total : 16.43%