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Major League Soccer
Jul 18, 2022 at 3.30am UK
Jeld-Wen Field
VW

Portland
1 - 1
Vancouver

Mora (81' pen.)
van Rankin (44'), Zuparic (84'), Blanco (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
White (33')
Cavallini (46'), Raposo (48')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Portland Timbers 3-1 Vancouver Whitecaps

The Timbers look like a different team since the international break and are playing with a lot more fire than we saw at the start of the season, proving that they are still a tough team to play against. With Cubas likely sidelined for this encounter, that should allow the Timbers to play through the middle a lot easier and find their share of scoring opportunities, which we believe will be enough to earn them three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 63.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 16.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawVancouver Whitecaps
63.03% (-1.779 -1.78) 20.53% (0.603 0.6) 16.43% (1.176 1.18)
Both teams to score 53.03% (0.692 0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.38% (-0.444 -0.44)42.62% (0.443 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.97% (-0.444 -0.44)65.02% (0.443 0.44)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.1% (-0.643 -0.64)12.9% (0.643 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.68% (-1.331 -1.33)39.32% (1.33 1.33)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.89% (1.238 1.24)39.11% (-1.238 -1.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.17% (1.143 1.14)75.83% (-1.144 -1.14)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 63.03%
    Vancouver Whitecaps 16.43%
    Draw 20.53%
Portland TimbersDrawVancouver Whitecaps
2-0 @ 10.58% (-0.31 -0.31)
1-0 @ 10.33% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.22% (-0.401 -0.4)
3-1 @ 6.78% (-0.139 -0.14)
4-0 @ 3.7% (-0.302 -0.3)
4-1 @ 3.47% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.52% (-0.164 -0.16)
5-1 @ 1.42% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 63.03%
1-1 @ 9.7% (0.277 0.28)
0-0 @ 5.05% (0.098 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.175 0.18)
3-3 @ 1% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.53%
0-1 @ 4.74% (0.248 0.25)
1-2 @ 4.55% (0.277 0.28)
0-2 @ 2.22% (0.186 0.19)
2-3 @ 1.46% (0.101 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.43% (0.131 0.13)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 16.43%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Seattle 0-3 Portland
Saturday, July 9 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 2-2 Portland
Monday, July 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 2-1 Houston
Thursday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 3-0 Colorado
Sunday, June 26 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-1 Portland
Saturday, June 18 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Portland
Sunday, May 29 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-2 Vancouver
Thursday, July 14 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 1-3 Minnesota Utd
Saturday, July 9 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 1-0 Los Angeles
Sunday, July 3 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 0-0 New England
Monday, June 27 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 0-2 Vancouver
Sunday, June 19 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 4-0 Vancouver
Wednesday, June 15 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer


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