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National League North | Gameweek 37
Mar 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Impact Arena

Alfreton
2 - 0
Banbury

Riley (47'), Salam (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Banbury United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alfreton 2-2 Darlington
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 4-2 Banbury
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 50.43%. A win for Banbury United had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Banbury United win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawBanbury United
50.43% (3.333 3.33) 23.62% (-1.2 -1.2) 25.95% (-2.137 -2.14)
Both teams to score 57.23% (2.185 2.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.98% (3.709 3.71)44.02% (-3.713 -3.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.6% (3.517 3.52)66.4% (-3.52 -3.52)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.47% (2.785 2.79)17.53% (-2.788 -2.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.94% (4.639 4.64)48.06% (-4.642 -4.64)
Banbury United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.4% (0.315 0.31)30.6% (-0.319 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.16% (0.372 0.37)66.84% (-0.375 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 50.43%
    Banbury United 25.95%
    Draw 23.62%
Alfreton TownDrawBanbury United
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.266 0.27)
1-0 @ 9.34% (-0.668 -0.67)
2-0 @ 8.13% (0.155 0.15)
3-1 @ 5.59% (0.615 0.62)
3-0 @ 4.72% (0.482 0.48)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.39 0.39)
4-1 @ 2.43% (0.451 0.45)
4-0 @ 2.05% (0.366 0.37)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.277 0.28)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 50.43%
1-1 @ 11.06% (-0.69 -0.69)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.206 0.21)
0-0 @ 5.37% (-0.917 -0.92)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.164 0.16)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.62%
1-2 @ 6.55% (-0.348 -0.35)
0-1 @ 6.35% (-1.022 -1.02)
0-2 @ 3.76% (-0.567 -0.57)
1-3 @ 2.59% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.1 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.208 -0.21)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 25.95%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Alfreton 2-2 Darlington
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-1 Alfreton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 2-0 Alfreton
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 1-0 Telford
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 0-0 Alfreton
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 1-2 Curzon Ashton
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 4-2 Banbury
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 2-2 Leamington
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 2-2 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 0-1 King's Lynn
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Kidderminster 0-2 Banbury
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 0-3 Kettering
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League North


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