SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 37.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scarborough Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Scarborough Athletic | Draw | Alfreton Town |
37.7% ( 0.11) | 25.14% ( 0.02) | 37.16% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 57.27% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.7% ( -0.1) | 46.3% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.41% ( -0.1) | 68.59% ( 0.1) |
| Scarborough Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.82% ( 0.01) | 24.18% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.49% ( 0.02) | 58.51% ( -0.02) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.53% ( -0.11) | 24.47% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.08% ( -0.16) | 58.92% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scarborough Athletic | Draw | Alfreton Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0)4-0 @ 1% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 1.95% Total : 37.7% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.9% Total : 37.16% |
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