Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 47.91%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%).