Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leamington FC win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leamington FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
