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National League North | Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2021 at 3pm UK
North Street
C

Alfreton
0 - 1
Chorley

 
FT(HT: 0-0)
Alli (81')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Chorley.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 49.45%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chorley in this match.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawChorley
26.14%24.42%49.45%
Both teams to score 54.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.64%47.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.42%69.58%
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.77%32.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.28%68.72%
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.81%19.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.12%50.88%
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 26.14%
    Chorley 49.45%
    Draw 24.41%
Alfreton TownDrawChorley
1-0 @ 7.01%
2-1 @ 6.55%
2-0 @ 3.97%
3-1 @ 2.47%
3-2 @ 2.04%
3-0 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 26.14%
1-1 @ 11.56%
0-0 @ 6.19%
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.41%
0-1 @ 10.21%
1-2 @ 9.54%
0-2 @ 8.43%
1-3 @ 5.25%
0-3 @ 4.64%
2-3 @ 2.97%
1-4 @ 2.17%
0-4 @ 1.91%
2-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 49.45%

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