SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Banbury United had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Banbury United win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Banbury United | Draw | Buxton |
32.54% ( -0.14) | 27.56% ( 0.08) | 39.9% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 48.67% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.05% ( -0.34) | 56.95% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.14% ( -0.28) | 77.86% ( 0.28) |
| Banbury United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.52% ( -0.27) | 32.48% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.99% ( -0.31) | 69.01% ( 0.31) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.09% ( -0.13) | 27.91% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.47% ( -0.16) | 63.53% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banbury United | Draw | Buxton |
| 1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.54% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.56% | 0-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 39.9% |
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