SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banbury United win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banbury United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Banbury United | Draw | Buxton |
38.46% ( 0.1) | 25.34% ( 0.02) | 36.2% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 56.51% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.75% ( -0.08) | 47.25% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.52% ( -0.08) | 69.47% ( 0.08) |
| Banbury United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.79% ( 0.02) | 24.21% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.45% ( 0.02) | 58.54% ( -0.02) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.56% ( -0.1) | 25.44% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.73% ( -0.14) | 60.27% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banbury United | Draw | Buxton |
| 1-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 38.46% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.72% Total : 36.2% |
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