SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 25.63% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Boston United win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Boston United |
49.39% ( -5.62) | 24.97% ( 1.15) | 25.63% ( 4.46) |
| Both teams to score 52.52% ( 1.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.91% ( -0.43) | 50.09% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.94% ( -0.38) | 72.06% ( 0.38) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.7% ( -2.37) | 20.3% ( 2.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.33% ( -3.93) | 52.67% ( 3.93) |
| Boston United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.89% ( 3.85) | 34.1% ( -3.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.21% ( 3.93) | 70.79% ( -3.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Buxton | Draw | Boston United |
| 1-0 @ 11.03% ( -0.66) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.27)2-0 @ 8.8% ( -1.25)3-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.55)3-0 @ 4.68% ( -1.08)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.39)4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.61)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.71% Total : 49.38% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.55) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.38)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.86) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.9)0-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.81)1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.52)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.3)0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.41)Other @ 2.24% Total : 25.63% |
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