SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Banbury United had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Banbury United win was 1-0 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Banbury United | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
34.92% ( -0.66) | 27.05% ( 0.15) | 38.02% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 50.66% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.35% ( -0.66) | 54.65% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.02% ( -0.55) | 75.98% ( 0.55) |
| Banbury United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.25% ( -0.74) | 29.75% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.18% ( -0.9) | 65.82% ( 0.9) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.12% ( -0.02) | 27.88% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.51% ( -0.02) | 63.49% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banbury United | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.42% Total : 34.92% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.05% | 0-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.94% Total : 38.02% |
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