SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 55.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Darlington had a probability of 19.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.77%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Darlington win it was 1-0 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tamworth in this match.
| Result | ||
| Darlington | Draw | Tamworth |
19.92% ( -0.15) | 24.24% ( -0.06) | 55.83% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 47.88% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.21% ( 0.06) | 52.79% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.58% ( 0.05) | 74.41% ( -0.05) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.95% ( -0.13) | 41.05% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.4% ( -0.11) | 77.6% ( 0.11) |
| Tamworth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.21% ( 0.11) | 18.79% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.8% ( 0.18) | 50.2% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Darlington | Draw | Tamworth |
| 1-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.2% Total : 19.92% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.78% Total : 24.24% | 0-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.77% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.01% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.35% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.51% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 3.08% Total : 55.82% |
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