SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Darlington win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southport would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Darlington |
44.11% ( -0.92) | 26.58% ( 0.8) | 29.3% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 50.28% ( -2.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.7% ( -3.12) | 54.29% ( 3.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.31% ( -2.67) | 75.69% ( 2.67) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.53% ( -1.8) | 24.47% ( 1.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.08% ( -2.6) | 58.91% ( 2.6) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.56% ( -1.54) | 33.43% ( 1.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.93% ( -1.72) | 70.07% ( 1.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southport | Draw | Darlington |
| 1-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.78) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.33)3-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.29)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.55% Total : 44.11% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.95)2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.33)Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.58% | 0-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.7) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.2)Other @ 2.42% Total : 29.3% |
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