Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 58.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Southport had a probability of 19.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.21%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Southport win it was 1-0 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.