Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 60.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Southport had a probability of 18.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Southport win it was 1-0 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.