Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guiseley win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Southport had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guiseley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.