SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blyth Spartans win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blyth Spartans would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Blyth Spartans | Draw | AFC Telford United |
43.71% ( 0.05) | 26.3% ( -0.01) | 29.99% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.49% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.09% ( 0.02) | 52.91% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.49% ( 0.02) | 74.52% ( -0.02) |
| Blyth Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.94% ( 0.03) | 24.06% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.67% ( 0.05) | 58.33% ( -0.05) |
| AFC Telford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.8% ( -0.02) | 32.21% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.3% ( -0.03) | 68.7% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Blyth Spartans | Draw | AFC Telford United |
| 1-0 @ 11.03% 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 43.7% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.3% | 0-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 29.99% |
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