SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Blyth Spartans | Draw | Alfreton Town |
32.71% ( -0.05) | 26.78% ( -0.01) | 40.51% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 51.08% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.08% ( 0.02) | 53.92% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.63% ( 0.02) | 75.37% ( -0.02) |
| Blyth Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.17% ( -0.02) | 30.83% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.89% ( -0.03) | 67.1% ( 0.02) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.85% ( 0.04) | 26.15% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.77% ( 0.05) | 61.23% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Blyth Spartans | Draw | Alfreton Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.97% Other @ 3.05% Total : 32.71% | 1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 10.81% 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 40.51% |
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