Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for York City had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest York City win was 1-0 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.