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National League North | Gameweek 17
Dec 11, 2021 at 3pm UK
Bootham Crescent
C

York City
1 - 1
Chorley

Wright (11')
Brown (33')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cardwell (39')
Coverage of the National League North clash between York City and Chorley.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for York City had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest York City win was 1-0 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
York CityDrawChorley
34.37%27.67%37.96%
Both teams to score 48.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.92%57.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.04%77.96%
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.68%31.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.32%67.68%
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.91%29.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35%65%
Score Analysis
    York City 34.36%
    Chorley 37.96%
    Draw 27.67%
York CityDrawChorley
1-0 @ 10.57%
2-1 @ 7.58%
2-0 @ 6.14%
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.38%
3-2 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 34.36%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.11%
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.67%
0-1 @ 11.25%
1-2 @ 8.06%
0-2 @ 6.95%
1-3 @ 3.32%
0-3 @ 2.86%
2-3 @ 1.93%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 37.96%

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