Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for York City had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest York City win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
