Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.