SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 37.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Darlington win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boston United | Draw | Darlington |
38.13% ( -0.12) | 24.48% ( -0.02) | 37.39% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 59.68% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.82% ( 0.09) | 43.18% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.42% ( 0.08) | 65.58% ( -0.09) |
| Boston United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.44% ( -0.03) | 22.55% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.86% ( -0.04) | 56.14% ( 0.03) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.06% ( 0.11) | 22.93% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.29% ( 0.16) | 56.71% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston United | Draw | Darlington |
| 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 38.13% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 37.39% |
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