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National League North | Gameweek 32
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Jakemans Stadium

Boston
3 - 1
Darlington

Goodson (19' pen.), Shiels (49'), Burrow (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Liddle (81')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Boston United and Darlington.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alfreton 3-1 Boston
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 3-1 Telford
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 37.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Darlington win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston United would win this match.

Result
Boston UnitedDrawDarlington
38.13% (-0.122 -0.12) 24.48% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 37.39% (0.135 0.13)
Both teams to score 59.68% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.82% (0.085000000000001 0.09)43.18% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.42% (0.082999999999998 0.08)65.58% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Boston United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.44% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)22.55% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.86% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)56.14% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.06% (0.10900000000001 0.11)22.93% (-0.115 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.29% (0.163 0.16)56.71% (-0.169 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Boston United 38.13%
    Darlington 37.39%
    Draw 24.47%
Boston UnitedDrawDarlington
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.7% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.74% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.19% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.09% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.85% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 38.13%
1-1 @ 11.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.17% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.47%
1-2 @ 8.35% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.62% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.61% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.1% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.05% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.75% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.51% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 37.39%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Alfreton 3-1 Boston
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kettering 3-2 Boston
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 2-2 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 2-2 Gloucester City
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: King's Lynn 2-1 Boston
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 0-2 King's Lynn
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 3-1 Telford
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 0-0 Southport
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 3-2 Spennymoor
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 0-3 Chorley
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 2-5 Darlington
Monday, January 2 at 1pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 2-3 Scarborough Ath
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North


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