Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 51.13%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 24.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 0-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.
Result | ||
Darlington | Draw | AFC Telford United |
51.13% ( 0.01) | 24.33% ( -0) | 24.53% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 53.44% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.65% ( 0.01) | 48.35% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.51% ( 0.01) | 70.49% ( -0) |
Darlington Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.09% ( 0.01) | 18.91% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.59% ( 0.01) | 50.4% ( -0.01) |
AFC Telford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.91% ( 0) | 34.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.22% | 70.78% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Darlington | Draw | AFC Telford United |
1-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.94% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.96% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 51.12% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 0-0 @ 6.45% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.33% | 0-1 @ 6.94% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.73% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 1.86% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.22% Total : 24.53% |
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