SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Southport had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Darlington | Draw | Southport |
40.08% ( -0.11) | 25.3% ( -0.09) | 34.63% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 56.43% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.75% ( 0.46) | 47.25% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.52% ( 0.43) | 69.48% ( -0.42) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.63% ( 0.15) | 23.37% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.65% ( 0.22) | 57.35% ( -0.21) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.65% ( 0.34) | 26.35% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.5% ( 0.45) | 61.5% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Darlington | Draw | Southport |
| 1-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.09% Total : 40.08% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.48% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.25% Total : 34.63% |
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