Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
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