SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boston United | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
38.84% ( 0.27) | 25.53% ( 0.02) | 35.62% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 55.78% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.84% ( -0.11) | 48.17% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.68% ( -0.1) | 70.32% ( 0.11) |
| Boston United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.58% ( 0.09) | 24.42% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.15% ( 0.13) | 58.85% ( -0.13) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.8% ( -0.22) | 26.2% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.71% ( -0.29) | 61.29% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston United | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 1.87% Total : 38.84% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.3% Total : 35.62% |
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