SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Chorley |
35.28% ( 1.2) | 26.07% ( -0.19) | 38.65% ( -1.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.92% ( 0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.46% ( 0.97) | 50.53% ( -0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.54% ( 0.85) | 72.45% ( -0.85) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.47% ( 1.21) | 27.53% ( -1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.96% ( 1.53) | 63.04% ( -1.53) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% ( -0.1) | 25.6% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.51% ( -0.14) | 60.48% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Chorley |
| 1-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.93% Total : 35.28% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.28)2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.3)1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.47% Total : 38.65% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
