SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 51.26%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 24.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 0-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boston United | Draw | AFC Telford United |
51.26% ( -0.02) | 23.91% ( 0.04) | 24.82% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.1% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.69% ( -0.16) | 46.3% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.41% ( -0.15) | 68.59% ( 0.15) |
| Boston United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.92% ( -0.07) | 18.08% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51% ( -0.12) | 49% ( 0.11) |
| AFC Telford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.26% ( -0.1) | 32.74% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.7% ( -0.11) | 69.3% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston United | Draw | AFC Telford United |
| 1-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.11% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.5% Total : 51.26% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.91% | 0-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.69% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 24.82% |
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