Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banbury United win with a probability of 49.87%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 25.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banbury United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
